Simplicity is helpful to craps newcomers but often it's also the best strategy for more advanced players. The strategy outlined below is extremely easy to understand and implement. It's also as effective as any craps strategy we've seen as it combine s ‘ease of use' with a very low house edge. The best basic craps strategy for a beginner to employ is to play the line and the come, either pass or don't pass. These are the two best areas to bet, offering the best possible odds and will let you check out what's happening on the rest of the table.
- The best strategy is managing your bets. Like with other casino games, set a loss limit for yourself and decide when to walk away with winnings. If you can't afford to lose more than $300, you should decide beforehand that $300 will be your absolute limit for losing and then you must stick to that limit.
- Three Point Molly. This craps betting strategy makes use of the Pass Line bet and the Come bet. The 'purpose' of this strategy is to secure your Pass Line bet, as a Come bet is paid on a 7 or 11, numbers on which a Pass Line bet will lose after the Point is established.
I've never read a blog post or an article about the game of craps or craps strategy that didn't mention how exciting the game is.
Okay. Now that we have that out of the way.
The purpose of this post is to introduce you to the 10 most fundamental concepts in craps strategy. This is not a get rich quick scheme. I don't have any systems to sell you.
My only interest is in helping you save money at the gambling tables and have fun while you're doing it.
The truth is that craps is a negative expectation game. If you play long enough, you'll eventually go broke.
But you can get more entertainment for your money if you understand some of the basics of craps strategy.
1- Start Your Craps Career by Sticking with the Most Easily Understood Bets on the Table
The basic bets in craps are the pass and don't pass bets. These are bets on whether the shooter 'succeeds' or not. These are also the best bets on the table. The house edge for each of those bets is, respectively, 1.41% and 1.36%.
Both those bets pay even money, which make them marginally less exciting than some of the other bets. But the payout isn't what's important for each bet. It's the house edge.
That's a mathematical estimate of how much of each bet you expect to lose on average over the long run. It's always expressed as a percentage.
If you bet $100 on every roll of the dice and place the pass bet every time, the casino expects your losses to average $1.41 for every bet you place.
This is exceptionally low compared to most bets at most other casino games. In fact, it's significantly better than most of the other bets at the craps table.
At an average craps table, you'll see about 100 rolls of the dice per hour. If you lose $1.41 on average for each of them, you'll see an hourly loss average out to $141.
That sounds awful until you compare it to other games like slot machines, which usually have a house edge of 7% or more, or roulette, which has a house edge of 5.26%.
Most of the time I recommend taking the bet with the lowest house edge, but in craps, I think it's so much more fun to root for the shooter that it's worth the 0.05% difference in house edge.
2- Continue Your Craps Career by Placing One of Only 2 Bets in the Casino with a House Edge of 0%
A bet with a house edge of 0% is a bet that will break even in the long run. I only know of 2 bets in the casino with a house edge of 0%:
- 1. The double up bet in video poker
- 2. The odds bet in craps
When you've made a pass or don't pass bet in craps, you can place a 2nd bet if and when the shooter sets a point. You win this 2nd bet if the shooter succeeds if you placed a pass bet, and you win it if the shooter fails if you placed a don't pass bet.
The tricky thing about the odds bet is that it isn't labeled on the craps table. You place the bet by putting the additional chips behind your initial pass or don't pass bet.
Since this bet has no house edge, it's an opportunity to get more money into action without any real long-term risk.
Some writers combine the 2 bets together for purposes of illustrating the total house edge on the 2 bets combined. I don't see much point in doing that.
I can tell you, though, that the best strategy decision you can make in craps is to take the biggest odds bet that you can, every time it's available.
The odds bet is part of what causes the crazy streaks of luck in the game, but that's also part of the charm of craps.
3- Stay Far Away from the Bets in the Center of the Table
Not every bet at the craps table offers good odds. In fact, most of the bets offer lousy odds. I mentioned earlier that you can measure how good a bet on a casino game is by how low the house edge is.
Let's take a look at the house edge for some of the bets in the middle of the craps table:
The 'any 7' bet pays off 4 to 1 if the shooter rolls any total of 7 on the next roll. The odds of winning that bet, though, are 5 to 1. The difference is the house edge.
- Assume you bet $100 on any 7 for 36 rolls. And also assume that you have a perfect distribution for those rolls.
- You'll win that bet 6 times, but you'll lose 30 times.
- With a 4 to 1 payout, you'll win $400 X 6, or $2400.
- But you'll have lost $100 X $30, or $3000.
- Your net loss is $600.
- Since you placed 36 bets, you can average the amount lost into the number of bets to get your average loss per bet. In this case, it's $16.67, which is 16.67% of $100.
And that's just one example.
The house edge on the various bets in the center of the craps table range from 2.78% to 16.67%. None of them are good bets.
Just stick with the pass and don't pass bets. Skip all the sucker bets in the middle of the table.
4- Steer Clear of Betting Systems Where You Increase and Decrease the Size of Your Bet Based on Previous Outcomes
You'll sometimes see craps 'experts' suggesting that you use some variation of the Martingale System for craps. The Martingale is a betting system used with even money bets at table games. You double the size of your bet after each loss until you win.
SEEMS fool-proof. But it's not.
Here's an example of how it might work at the craps table:
You bet $5 (the minimum in this casino) on the pass line bet, and you lose. On your next bet, you bet $10. If you win this time, you'll recoup your $5 loss on the previous bet and have a $5 profit to show for it.
But if you lose again, you double the size of your last bet again, this time, from $10 to $20. This recoups the $5 you lost and the $10 you lost, and you have a $5 profit.
Easy Craps Strategy
You can continue this progression as long as your money holds out and as long as your bet stays beneath the table max.
The problem with the Martingale System is that doubling the size of your bets increases your bet size far faster than you'd expect. You might think it's hard to lose the same bet 8 or 9 times in a row, but it happens more often than you think.
When it does, you see a devastating loss. In fact, that loss will be so devastating that you'll lose all those tiny profits you made previously.
Here's what 8 bets in a row look like if you start with $5:
- 1. $5
- 2. $10
- 3. $20
- 4. $40
- 5. $80
- 6. $160
- 7. $320
- 8. $640
A lot of craps tables with a $5 minimum have a $500 maximum bet. If you lose 7 times in a row, you break the system and can't continue.
Also, if you lose 7 times in a row, you'll have lost $635 already. To place a $640 bet at this point means you'll have put $1275 in action over the course of 8 bets.
And if you win that final bet?
You're only up $5 for the entire session.
Betting systems like the Martingale have no way of overcoming the house edge. They seem like a good idea in the short run, but in the long run, you'll lose just as much money (or more) using this kind of betting system as you would if you just randomly varied the size of your bets.
5- Don't Try to Hedge Your Bets Either
You're hedging your bets when you place a bet intended to offset the losses from another bet.
An example might make it easier to understand:
You place a $10 bet on the pass line. You simultaneously bet $2 on the 'any craps' bet. (The any craps bet wins if the shooter rolls a 2, 3, or 12.)
It's impossible to lose with this bet. If the shooter rolls a 7 or an 11 on the come out roll, you win $10. Sure, you'll lose the $2 any craps bet, but you'll have a net win of $8.
If the shooter rolls a 2, 3 or 12 on the come out roll, you win $14 (7 to 1). Sure, you'll have lost the $10 pass line bet, but you'll have a net win of $4.
This seems like a no-brainer strategy. The problem is that it doesn't account for when the shooter rolls a point.
How often does this happen?
- You have 36 possible outcomes in a come out roll.
- 4 of those possible outcomes are any craps. (1,1; 1,2; 2,1; 6,6).
- 8 of those possible outcomes win the pass line bet (1,6; 2,5; 3,4; 4,3; 5,2; 6,1; 5,6; 6,5).
- That's 12 possible outcomes where you're guaranteed a profit.
- But on the other 24 outcomes (2 out of 3 times), the shooter will set a point. In each of those cases, the 'any craps' bet loses right out of the gate. You still face the house edge when the shooter tries to roll the point.
The hedge bet doesn't change your odds of winning. It only looks that way.
Almost all craps betting systems involve raising and lowering your bets based on when you're winning or losing. But they also often involve systems for hedging your bets.
Don't bother unless you think it sounds like a fun way to place bets. Even then, the house edge on the any craps bet is higher than you should be willing to pay.
6- Play Craps for the Lowest Stakes that Remain Interesting for You
You can calculate how much an hour of gambling at a given game will cost (on average) by multiplying the house edge by the number of bets per hour. You multiply that by the average size of your bet to get your expected hourly loss.
In the short run, this number is meaningless. It's just a long-term expectation, and your results will vary from that mathematical expectation. But the longer you play, the closer you'll eventually come to seeing the mathematical expectation become a reality.
This means that in the long run, you'll lose twice as much money betting $10 per roll as you would if you were betting $5 per roll. The bigger your bet size, the more expected loss is.
I have just as much fun at the craps table betting $5 as I do betting $10 or $20, but you might have more money than I do. (I am, after all, only a poor gambling blogger.)
Years ago, I read a great book called Poker Night by John Vorhaus. He wrote about how to choose the stakes for your poker game. If you're playing for such low stakes that winning or losing doesn't matter to you at all, poker is an exercise in boredom.
He suggest playing in a game based on your 'gulp limit.' That's the amount of money that would make you swallow really hard if you lost your wallet with that amount in it.
That's the size of your starting bankroll—your gulp limit. You can back-calculate the stakes you want to play for by dividing that bankroll by 10 or 20.
If your gulp limit is $200, you should be playing for $10 or $20 per roll.
7- Find the Casinos Who Offer You the Biggest Odds Bet Multiples
Since the odds bet offsets the house edge on the pass line and don't pass line bet in proportion to how much you wager on it, the more you bet on it, the better off you are. But casinos have a maximum bet size for the odds bet based on a multiple of your original pass or don't pass bet.
If you're betting $5 per roll, the most you can bet on the odds bet is $10. If you're betting $1000 per roll (you high roller, you), you can bet $2000 on the odds bet.
You can find casinos in Las Vegas which allow you to take 10X or even 15X odds, but 2X is more common. You should look for casinos which offer bigger limits on the odds bet.
Some casinos have 3x 4X 5X odds bet maximums. In these casinos, you can bet 3X your original bet if the point is 4 or 10, 4X your original bet if the point is 5 or 9, and 5X your original bet if the point is 6 or 8.
This is meant to simplify payouts for the craps dealers. Those bets pay off at 2 to 1, 3 to 2, and 6 to 5, respectively.
If you make the pass line bet with the maximum odds bet at a 3X 4X 5X table, the payout is always 7 to 1 on your total action. This makes it easier for the dealer.
Still, you're better off finding a casino that allows you to bet more than that on the odds bet.
My suggestion for the best place to play craps in Las Vegas is the Casino Royale. It's on the Strip, and it features some of the lowest betting minimums and highest possible odds bets in Las Vegas. You can bet $2 per roll of the dice in craps, and you can place an odds bet of up to 100X, or $200.
The cumulative house edge on a pass line bet taking maximum odds drops to just 0.02%. You won't find a bet (or combination of bets) anywhere in any casino in the world with such a low house edge—unless you're a card counter or an expert video poker player. (Those professions are outside the scope of this post, though—sorry.)
8- Consider Learning How to Set and Control the Dice
The idea behind dice setting and dice control is that a skilled shooter can affect the probability of getting a certain total on the dice. If skill comes into play when you're rolling the dice, craps becomes a game more like darts than roulette.
I'm skeptical of this possibility, but I've seen gambling writers and experts I respect who lend the idea some credence. Even if it's possible, I don't think it's practical for most gamblers to try this. Here's why:
To be able to control the dice, you'd need to practice. You can't practice for free in a casino, so you'd need to build or buy a casino-equivalent craps table to put in your garage or basement.
Then you'd need to practice for an insane number of repetitions to have any degree of statistical certainty that your skill is in fact affecting your outcomes. Anyone can look like they have skill by getting lucky on a dozen throws of the dice in a row. You'll need to record your results until you have confidence in your statistical results.
That's a lot of work for something you might turn out not to be good at. It's also a lot of work on something that might not even be possible.
I don't know of any casinos changing their rules or game conditions to combat dice setters. So I'm skeptical of how big a problem it is.
9- Try Playing Free Craps Games Online
I shouldn't have to go into a lot of detail about this tip for it to make sense. If you're playing craps without risking any money, you can't lose any money. Online casinos offer play money games where you don't risk a thing. At a lot of these casinos, you don't even have to register an account.
10- See if You Can Find Some Buddies to Play 'Street Craps' With
Street craps is the game played in an alleyway or someone's house. You'll see people playing street craps in a lot of old movies.
The most important difference between street craps and casino craps is the lack of betting options. In street craps, you only have the 2 betting options—pass and don't pass. The rules for these bets work the same as they would if you were playing in a casino.
You're just betting against the other players.
Conclusion
I can't imagine a game in the casino more fun than craps. Luckily, it also offers some of the best odds in the casino—IF you place the right bets. Once you learn the basics of the game, it's easy to do well at craps at least part of the time. Just stick with the bets which have a low house edge.
The rest of what you need to know about craps strategy can be boiled down to avoiding bad strategies. The bad bets at the craps table are awful. There's never a reason to place a bet on something as silly as 'hard eight,' even though PT Anderson made a great movie with that title.
Other trap to avoid is thinking that hedging your bets or raising and lowering your bets based on previous results will do anything to help you win. Those tactics don't work and never have.
Craps is a notoriously streaky game. This is good news and bad news. It means you can have big winning streaks. Sadly, it also means you can have fast losing streaks, too.
And the losing streaks are marginally more common than the winning streaks. That's how a game with a negative expectation for the player works. Play long enough, and you'll lose all your money.
But you can sure have some fun and walk away a winner from the craps table once in a while.
Many mathematicians have tried and failed to create the perfect betting strategy. Each betting system has its shortcomings no matter how badly someone tries to convince you that their strategy is guaranteed.
But does this mean that all betting strategies are total junk?
No, some strategies do have merit and provide short or even long-term results. The only catch is figuring out which betting systems are worth using.
Let's discuss 10 wagering strategies that work. Some of these systems only work on specific games like baccarat or roulette, while others can apply to any casino game.
1. Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
A common scenario for casual gamblers is to walk into the casino with around $200 dollars and make bets between $10 and $25.
This seems harmless in theory, if you're gambling with expendable income. But the problem is that you're very likely to run out of money this way.
One good idea that comes from sports betting is only risking 2% or less of your bankroll on any given wager.
Professional and serious amateur sports bettors do this to minimize their short-term risk. But you can really apply this system to any casino game.
Here's an example:- Your bankroll is $2,000.
- 2% of your bankroll is $40.
- You can place bets worth $40 or lower.
Pros of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
The biggest benefit to wagering 2% or less of your bankroll is that it keeps you in the game. You're not risking chunks worth 5. 20% of your bankroll like most players.
This is helpful in any casino game from blackjack to Caribbean stud poker. But it's especially useful in skill-based games like daily fantasy sports (DFS), poker, and sports betting.
The reason why is because skill-based games are prone to more streakiness than house-banked games. In these games, it's common to experience long dry streaks that make you question if they'll ever end.
The best way to get through them is by risking small amounts of your bankroll on each wager. Furthermore, you'll dramatically lower your risk of ruin.
Cons of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
The first problem with this system is that most players don't have a large enough bankroll to only wager 2% or less per bet. Under this system, you'll need at least $1,000 in just to make a $20 wager (2%).
Professionals can afford to be disciplined like this because they have large bankrolls. But if you're just a casual blackjack or craps player, you probably don't walk into the casino with thousands of dollars.
Another downside is that some players find that this system doesn't offer enough action. These same players may like varying their wagers from big to small depending upon how lucky they feel.
But, as long as you have a large enough bankroll, this system is definitely worth using.
2. The Martingale
The Martingale betting strategy has two things going for it:
- It's easy.
- This system will theoretically provide a profit every time.
The Martingale calls on you to double bets after every loss. The goal is to always win back your losses and earn a small profit in the process.
You should also make even-money bets with the Martingale in order to simplify things and minimize your risk.
Here's an example:- You bet $10 and win (+10).
- You bet $10 and lose (0).
- You bet $20 and lose (- 20).
- You bet $40 and lose (- 60).
- You bet $80 and lose (- 140).
- You bet $160 and lose (- 300).
- You bet $320 and win (+20).
- Next bet returns to $10.
Pros of the Martingale
The Martingale's best aspects include its ease of use and how it can theoretically be successful.
As long as you have the funds to continue doubling bets after losses, you'll eventually win back your money. You'll also book small profits along the way every time you win.
The Martingale is one of the best systems for those looking for consistent short-term profits.
Cons of the Martingale
The Martingale's downside is that it's an extremely risky strategy. You'll be betting far more than your original wager after 5 to 6 losing wagers.
This can make you hesitant to pull the trigger on the next double bet. Even worse is that your bankroll will vanish if the losing streak continues.
Beginner Craps Strategy
Another problem is that casinos impose table limits to prevent wealthy gamblers from the using the Martingale to the fullest. Otherwise, Mark Zuckerberg ($56 billion net worth) would always win with the Martingale because his bankroll would likely never run out.
You'll eventually run into a losing streak that's long enough to hit the table limit. In this case, you take a big loss because you can no longer double wagers to win everything back.
3. The Martingale in Skill-Based Games
We just covered how the Martingale is a very risky betting strategy. What's more is that this system doesn't do anything to alter the house edge.
But what if you could combine the Martingale's effectiveness with skill?
This betting strategy can be profitable in skill based games like DFS and sports betting. Not only can you win back your losses with the Martingale, but you can also swing the odds in your favor with enough skill.
Here's an example of how this works in DFS:
- You lose a $10 + $1 (fee) head to head contest (- 11).
- You lose a $20 + $2 head to head contest (- 33).
- You lose a $40 + $4 head to head contest (- 77).
- You win an $80 + $8 head to head contest (- 5).
- You win a $10 + $1 head to head contest (+5).
The tough thing about DFS contests is that you have to pay an extra 10% entry fee to the sites. But as the above example shows, the Martingale strategy can still help you book a profit even if you lose the majority of contests.
Let's look at one more example involving sports betting:
- You lose an $11 bet (- 11).
- You lose a $22 bet (- 22).
- You lose a $44 bet (- 77).
- You lose an $88 bet (- 165).
- You win a $176 bet and earn a $160 profit (- 5).
- You win an $11 bet and earn a $10 profit (+5),
The drawback to sports betting is that the house takes 10% juice from the losing side. But the Martingale can still help you be profitable when you string together two or more wins.
Pros of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games
The great thing about using this system in skill-based contests is that you can overcome short-term variance by consistently winning back losses.
The sports betting example above shows how you can earn back your losses plus a small profit even after several losing wagers.
Another advantage is that you're not just using the Martingale in a casino game with a house edge. Instead, you're playing skill based games.
The end result is that you get the enviable combination of getting your losses back and having a chance to win long-term profits.
Cons of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games
You're taking a risk on three fronts with this betting strategy:
- You might be at a skill disadvantage to opponents/other bettors.
- You're still dealing with the Martingale risks.
- You must pay 10% fees (DFS) or 10% juice on losses (sports betting).
The first point is key because you could be facing an even worse proposition than house-banked casino games if you're not better than opponents.
Add in the standard Martingale risks along with sportsbook/DFS fees, and non-skilled bettors are looking at a potential bankroll disaster.
4. Betting on Baccarat's Banker Hand
Baccarat gives you three different betting options, including the banker hand, player hand, and tie bet. And the top system for playing baccarat involves making the banker bet every time.
The reason why is because the banker hand only has a 1.06% house edge. Compare this to the player hand and tie wager, which have 1.24% and 14.36% house edges, respectively.
Given that all you need to do is bet on the banker hand every time, baccarat is great for casual players who don't want to deal with in-depth strategy.
Pros of Betting on the Banker Hand
The banker hand wager is one of the best in gaming. Only a handful of casino games offer a lower house edge than 1.06%.
The other advantage to wagering on the banker hand is that you don't have to study strategy. Instead, you simply need to make the same bet every time.
Cons of Betting on the Banker Hand
The banker hand's 1.06% house edge isn't as harmless as it seems.
Mini baccarat games see anywhere from 120. 200 hands dealt per hour. This is 2. 3 times the hand rate that you'll see in blackjack games and this exposes you more to the house edge.
Let's look at the theoretical losses that you'd be facing in a fast-dealt baccarat game:
- You're making $10 bets on the banker
- The table is seeing 200 hands per hour.
- This adds up to $2,000 in total hourly bets.
- We take 2,000 x 0.0106.
- Your theoretical losses are $21.20 per hour.
5. Value Betting
Value betting is the process of getting maximum value out of situations where you have a long-term advantage. This term is most often used in poker, but it can also describe how blackjack card counters operate.
Value betting requires being able to spot and take advantage of favorable situations.
One example is when a poker player believes they have the best hand and bets in a way that extracts maximum value from their opponent. Going further, their wagers need to be large enough to get the most value from the opposing player, yet small enough that the opponent won't fold.
Another example involves how card counters keep track of the deck until the count swings in their favor. They then make larger bets to maximize situations where the deck is rich in 10s and aces.
Pros of Value Betting
Anybody who wants to make long-term profits through gambling can benefit from value betting. This is how poker pros and card counters earn their living.
In poker's case, being good at value betting can separate you from opponents. Getting the most value out of your great hands will improve your profits in the long run.
Cons of Value Betting
The problem with this betting strategy is that it calls on you to have the following qualities:
- Being good at math.
- Being skilled in the game you're playing.
- Being able to walk a fine line with betting.
Wagering too little prevents you from capitalizing on your best poker hands. Wagering too much pushes your opponents out of hands and keeps you from making money on future streets.
For card counters, betting too high in favorable situations can attract the casino's attention. In turn, they'll find out that you're a card counter and ban you for life.
6. Taking Craps Odds
The best regular bets in craps include pass line, don't pass line, come, and don't come. But there's another craps wager that's even better than these called odds.
Craps odds is the best bet in the casino because it doesn't have a house edge. Instead, you're paid at your true odds of winning. And one of the top betting strategies that you can use includes continually backing regular bets with odds.
To place an odds wager, you need to first make a pass line or don't pass line bet after a point has been established. You should also inform the dealer that you're making an odds bet.
Here are the payouts for when you back a pass line bet with odds (a.k.a. taking odds):
- 2 to 1 on point numbers of 4 and 10.
- 3 to 2 on points of 5 and 9.
- 6 to 5 on points of 6 and 8.
Here are payouts for when you back a don't pass line wager with odds (a.k.a. laying odds):
- 1 to 2 for points of 4 and 10.
- 2 to 3 for points of 5 and 9.
- 5 to 6 for points of 6 and 8.
Pros of Taking Craps Odds
Odds is the only bet where the casino doesn't have a house edge. And what's great is that you can reduce the house advantage to almost nothing by taking higher odds.
Here's a look at how far the house edge is reduced based on the odds you take:
Odds | Pass Line/Come | Don't Pass Line/Don't Come |
---|---|---|
0x | 1.41% house edge | 1.36% house edge |
1x | 0.848% | 0.682% |
2x | 0.606% | 0.455% |
Full Double Odds | 0.572% | 0.431% |
3x | 0.471% | 0.341% |
3x 4x 5x | 0.374% | 0.273% |
5x | 0.326% | 0.227% |
10x | 0.184% | 0.124% |
20x | 0.099% | 0.065% |
100x | 0.021% | 0.014% |
Cons of Taking Craps Odds
Casinos cap the size of odds because they don't make long term profits off these wagers. The highest most casinos go is 5x odds, while others don't even allow this amount.
A few Las Vegas casinos offer anywhere from 10x to 100x odds. And this seems like a dream based on how higher odds reduce the house edge further.
But the problem is that most players don't have the bankroll to continue taking the highest odds available. If you put $10 on pass line and take 20x odds, you need an additional $200.
The average gambler doesn't have this kind of money for a single bet, even if there's no house edge involved.
7. The Labouchere
The Labouchere (a.k.a. cancellation system) is a negative progression betting strategy like the Martingale. The main difference, though, is that it's less risky.
You start this system by creating a unit size. And the simplest way to do this is by choosing the table's minimum bet.
The next step involves deciding how many units you want to win during your session. After deciding this, you create a string of numbers that adds up to your desired unit win.
You then add the first and last number in the sequence to determine your bet.
You cross off both of these numbers after a win. And you add the combined number to the end of your string after a loss.
Here's an example of the Labouchere in action:
- You want to win 18 units.
- Your number string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 3.
- Your first bet is 6 units (3 + 3).
- You win and your new string is: 4, 5, 3.
- Your next bet is 7 units (4 + 3).
- You lose and your new string is: 4, 5, 3, 7.
Pros of the Labouchere
One good thing about the Labouchere is that it gives you more freedom than most betting systems. You decide your unit size, desired profit, and how to achieve this profit.
Another good aspect to the cancellation system is that it's not as risky as systems like the Martingale. Rather than doubling your bet following every loss to win back losses, you're merely wagering a certain amount of units.
Cons of the Labouchere
The biggest problem with this system is that you're forced to make a series of big bets during a losing streak. Let's look at how this works by going back to the number sequence in the first example:
- Your number sequence is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4.
- Your first bet is 7 units.
- You lose and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7.
- You lose a 10-unit bet and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7, 10.
This isn't as bad as doubling your bets after every loss. But most players won't feel comfortable wagering between 7 and 10 units for several bets in a row.
8. Making Even-Money Bets in French Roulette
Roulette offers three main variations, which are American roulette, European roulette, and French roulette. The best version is French roulette because it only has a 1.35% house edge.
French roulette is played on a European wheel (37 numbers). But the difference between European and French roulette is that the latter has the la partage rule.
La partage pays half your bet back on losing even-money wagers that land on zero. This effectively cuts the European roulette house edge (2.70%) in half as long as you stick with even-money bets.
Pros of Even-Money French Roulette Bets
The best aspects to making even-money bets with French roulette include the low house edge and excellent probability of winning.
As for the latter, you have a 48.64% chance of winning red/black, odd/even, and high/low. This is even better than your chances of winning a blackjack hand (42.22%) or baccarat hand (45.85%) when ties are accounted for.
Easy Craps Strategy
The high probability of winning and the low house edge combine to create low volatility. And this is perfect for players with small bankrolls who want to last in casino games.
Cons of Even-Money French Roulette Bets
The biggest problem is that you can't find French roulette in most land-based or online casinos.
France, Germany, and Monte Carlo offer a fair number of French roulette games. But the game is sparsely found in most other countries.
Easy Blackjack Strategy
Any online casino with Microgaming or Realtime Gaming software will offer French roulette. Cryptologic (NYX Gaming) also has a European roulette variation that's actually French roulette.
But beyond this, you'll have a hard time even finding French roulette online.
9. Oscar's Grind
Oscar's Grind is another negative progression strategy in the same vein as the Martingale or Labouchere. But this one is more complicated.
You start off by betting 1 unit. And you keep your unit size the same when you're in a winning or losing streak.
My only interest is in helping you save money at the gambling tables and have fun while you're doing it.
The truth is that craps is a negative expectation game. If you play long enough, you'll eventually go broke.
But you can get more entertainment for your money if you understand some of the basics of craps strategy.
1- Start Your Craps Career by Sticking with the Most Easily Understood Bets on the Table
The basic bets in craps are the pass and don't pass bets. These are bets on whether the shooter 'succeeds' or not. These are also the best bets on the table. The house edge for each of those bets is, respectively, 1.41% and 1.36%.
Both those bets pay even money, which make them marginally less exciting than some of the other bets. But the payout isn't what's important for each bet. It's the house edge.
That's a mathematical estimate of how much of each bet you expect to lose on average over the long run. It's always expressed as a percentage.
If you bet $100 on every roll of the dice and place the pass bet every time, the casino expects your losses to average $1.41 for every bet you place.
This is exceptionally low compared to most bets at most other casino games. In fact, it's significantly better than most of the other bets at the craps table.
At an average craps table, you'll see about 100 rolls of the dice per hour. If you lose $1.41 on average for each of them, you'll see an hourly loss average out to $141.
That sounds awful until you compare it to other games like slot machines, which usually have a house edge of 7% or more, or roulette, which has a house edge of 5.26%.
Most of the time I recommend taking the bet with the lowest house edge, but in craps, I think it's so much more fun to root for the shooter that it's worth the 0.05% difference in house edge.
2- Continue Your Craps Career by Placing One of Only 2 Bets in the Casino with a House Edge of 0%
A bet with a house edge of 0% is a bet that will break even in the long run. I only know of 2 bets in the casino with a house edge of 0%:
- 1. The double up bet in video poker
- 2. The odds bet in craps
When you've made a pass or don't pass bet in craps, you can place a 2nd bet if and when the shooter sets a point. You win this 2nd bet if the shooter succeeds if you placed a pass bet, and you win it if the shooter fails if you placed a don't pass bet.
The tricky thing about the odds bet is that it isn't labeled on the craps table. You place the bet by putting the additional chips behind your initial pass or don't pass bet.
Since this bet has no house edge, it's an opportunity to get more money into action without any real long-term risk.
Some writers combine the 2 bets together for purposes of illustrating the total house edge on the 2 bets combined. I don't see much point in doing that.
I can tell you, though, that the best strategy decision you can make in craps is to take the biggest odds bet that you can, every time it's available.
The odds bet is part of what causes the crazy streaks of luck in the game, but that's also part of the charm of craps.
3- Stay Far Away from the Bets in the Center of the Table
Not every bet at the craps table offers good odds. In fact, most of the bets offer lousy odds. I mentioned earlier that you can measure how good a bet on a casino game is by how low the house edge is.
Let's take a look at the house edge for some of the bets in the middle of the craps table:
The 'any 7' bet pays off 4 to 1 if the shooter rolls any total of 7 on the next roll. The odds of winning that bet, though, are 5 to 1. The difference is the house edge.
- Assume you bet $100 on any 7 for 36 rolls. And also assume that you have a perfect distribution for those rolls.
- You'll win that bet 6 times, but you'll lose 30 times.
- With a 4 to 1 payout, you'll win $400 X 6, or $2400.
- But you'll have lost $100 X $30, or $3000.
- Your net loss is $600.
- Since you placed 36 bets, you can average the amount lost into the number of bets to get your average loss per bet. In this case, it's $16.67, which is 16.67% of $100.
And that's just one example.
The house edge on the various bets in the center of the craps table range from 2.78% to 16.67%. None of them are good bets.
Just stick with the pass and don't pass bets. Skip all the sucker bets in the middle of the table.
4- Steer Clear of Betting Systems Where You Increase and Decrease the Size of Your Bet Based on Previous Outcomes
You'll sometimes see craps 'experts' suggesting that you use some variation of the Martingale System for craps. The Martingale is a betting system used with even money bets at table games. You double the size of your bet after each loss until you win.
SEEMS fool-proof. But it's not.
Here's an example of how it might work at the craps table:
You bet $5 (the minimum in this casino) on the pass line bet, and you lose. On your next bet, you bet $10. If you win this time, you'll recoup your $5 loss on the previous bet and have a $5 profit to show for it.
But if you lose again, you double the size of your last bet again, this time, from $10 to $20. This recoups the $5 you lost and the $10 you lost, and you have a $5 profit.
Easy Craps Strategy
You can continue this progression as long as your money holds out and as long as your bet stays beneath the table max.
The problem with the Martingale System is that doubling the size of your bets increases your bet size far faster than you'd expect. You might think it's hard to lose the same bet 8 or 9 times in a row, but it happens more often than you think.
When it does, you see a devastating loss. In fact, that loss will be so devastating that you'll lose all those tiny profits you made previously.
Here's what 8 bets in a row look like if you start with $5:
- 1. $5
- 2. $10
- 3. $20
- 4. $40
- 5. $80
- 6. $160
- 7. $320
- 8. $640
A lot of craps tables with a $5 minimum have a $500 maximum bet. If you lose 7 times in a row, you break the system and can't continue.
Also, if you lose 7 times in a row, you'll have lost $635 already. To place a $640 bet at this point means you'll have put $1275 in action over the course of 8 bets.
And if you win that final bet?
You're only up $5 for the entire session.
Betting systems like the Martingale have no way of overcoming the house edge. They seem like a good idea in the short run, but in the long run, you'll lose just as much money (or more) using this kind of betting system as you would if you just randomly varied the size of your bets.
5- Don't Try to Hedge Your Bets Either
You're hedging your bets when you place a bet intended to offset the losses from another bet.
An example might make it easier to understand:
You place a $10 bet on the pass line. You simultaneously bet $2 on the 'any craps' bet. (The any craps bet wins if the shooter rolls a 2, 3, or 12.)
It's impossible to lose with this bet. If the shooter rolls a 7 or an 11 on the come out roll, you win $10. Sure, you'll lose the $2 any craps bet, but you'll have a net win of $8.
If the shooter rolls a 2, 3 or 12 on the come out roll, you win $14 (7 to 1). Sure, you'll have lost the $10 pass line bet, but you'll have a net win of $4.
This seems like a no-brainer strategy. The problem is that it doesn't account for when the shooter rolls a point.
How often does this happen?
- You have 36 possible outcomes in a come out roll.
- 4 of those possible outcomes are any craps. (1,1; 1,2; 2,1; 6,6).
- 8 of those possible outcomes win the pass line bet (1,6; 2,5; 3,4; 4,3; 5,2; 6,1; 5,6; 6,5).
- That's 12 possible outcomes where you're guaranteed a profit.
- But on the other 24 outcomes (2 out of 3 times), the shooter will set a point. In each of those cases, the 'any craps' bet loses right out of the gate. You still face the house edge when the shooter tries to roll the point.
The hedge bet doesn't change your odds of winning. It only looks that way.
Almost all craps betting systems involve raising and lowering your bets based on when you're winning or losing. But they also often involve systems for hedging your bets.
Don't bother unless you think it sounds like a fun way to place bets. Even then, the house edge on the any craps bet is higher than you should be willing to pay.
6- Play Craps for the Lowest Stakes that Remain Interesting for You
You can calculate how much an hour of gambling at a given game will cost (on average) by multiplying the house edge by the number of bets per hour. You multiply that by the average size of your bet to get your expected hourly loss.
In the short run, this number is meaningless. It's just a long-term expectation, and your results will vary from that mathematical expectation. But the longer you play, the closer you'll eventually come to seeing the mathematical expectation become a reality.
This means that in the long run, you'll lose twice as much money betting $10 per roll as you would if you were betting $5 per roll. The bigger your bet size, the more expected loss is.
I have just as much fun at the craps table betting $5 as I do betting $10 or $20, but you might have more money than I do. (I am, after all, only a poor gambling blogger.)
Years ago, I read a great book called Poker Night by John Vorhaus. He wrote about how to choose the stakes for your poker game. If you're playing for such low stakes that winning or losing doesn't matter to you at all, poker is an exercise in boredom.
He suggest playing in a game based on your 'gulp limit.' That's the amount of money that would make you swallow really hard if you lost your wallet with that amount in it.
That's the size of your starting bankroll—your gulp limit. You can back-calculate the stakes you want to play for by dividing that bankroll by 10 or 20.
If your gulp limit is $200, you should be playing for $10 or $20 per roll.
7- Find the Casinos Who Offer You the Biggest Odds Bet Multiples
Since the odds bet offsets the house edge on the pass line and don't pass line bet in proportion to how much you wager on it, the more you bet on it, the better off you are. But casinos have a maximum bet size for the odds bet based on a multiple of your original pass or don't pass bet.
If you're betting $5 per roll, the most you can bet on the odds bet is $10. If you're betting $1000 per roll (you high roller, you), you can bet $2000 on the odds bet.
You can find casinos in Las Vegas which allow you to take 10X or even 15X odds, but 2X is more common. You should look for casinos which offer bigger limits on the odds bet.
Some casinos have 3x 4X 5X odds bet maximums. In these casinos, you can bet 3X your original bet if the point is 4 or 10, 4X your original bet if the point is 5 or 9, and 5X your original bet if the point is 6 or 8.
This is meant to simplify payouts for the craps dealers. Those bets pay off at 2 to 1, 3 to 2, and 6 to 5, respectively.
If you make the pass line bet with the maximum odds bet at a 3X 4X 5X table, the payout is always 7 to 1 on your total action. This makes it easier for the dealer.
Still, you're better off finding a casino that allows you to bet more than that on the odds bet.
My suggestion for the best place to play craps in Las Vegas is the Casino Royale. It's on the Strip, and it features some of the lowest betting minimums and highest possible odds bets in Las Vegas. You can bet $2 per roll of the dice in craps, and you can place an odds bet of up to 100X, or $200.
The cumulative house edge on a pass line bet taking maximum odds drops to just 0.02%. You won't find a bet (or combination of bets) anywhere in any casino in the world with such a low house edge—unless you're a card counter or an expert video poker player. (Those professions are outside the scope of this post, though—sorry.)
8- Consider Learning How to Set and Control the Dice
The idea behind dice setting and dice control is that a skilled shooter can affect the probability of getting a certain total on the dice. If skill comes into play when you're rolling the dice, craps becomes a game more like darts than roulette.
I'm skeptical of this possibility, but I've seen gambling writers and experts I respect who lend the idea some credence. Even if it's possible, I don't think it's practical for most gamblers to try this. Here's why:
To be able to control the dice, you'd need to practice. You can't practice for free in a casino, so you'd need to build or buy a casino-equivalent craps table to put in your garage or basement.
Then you'd need to practice for an insane number of repetitions to have any degree of statistical certainty that your skill is in fact affecting your outcomes. Anyone can look like they have skill by getting lucky on a dozen throws of the dice in a row. You'll need to record your results until you have confidence in your statistical results.
That's a lot of work for something you might turn out not to be good at. It's also a lot of work on something that might not even be possible.
I don't know of any casinos changing their rules or game conditions to combat dice setters. So I'm skeptical of how big a problem it is.
9- Try Playing Free Craps Games Online
I shouldn't have to go into a lot of detail about this tip for it to make sense. If you're playing craps without risking any money, you can't lose any money. Online casinos offer play money games where you don't risk a thing. At a lot of these casinos, you don't even have to register an account.
10- See if You Can Find Some Buddies to Play 'Street Craps' With
Street craps is the game played in an alleyway or someone's house. You'll see people playing street craps in a lot of old movies.
The most important difference between street craps and casino craps is the lack of betting options. In street craps, you only have the 2 betting options—pass and don't pass. The rules for these bets work the same as they would if you were playing in a casino.
You're just betting against the other players.
Conclusion
I can't imagine a game in the casino more fun than craps. Luckily, it also offers some of the best odds in the casino—IF you place the right bets. Once you learn the basics of the game, it's easy to do well at craps at least part of the time. Just stick with the bets which have a low house edge.
The rest of what you need to know about craps strategy can be boiled down to avoiding bad strategies. The bad bets at the craps table are awful. There's never a reason to place a bet on something as silly as 'hard eight,' even though PT Anderson made a great movie with that title.
Other trap to avoid is thinking that hedging your bets or raising and lowering your bets based on previous results will do anything to help you win. Those tactics don't work and never have.
Craps is a notoriously streaky game. This is good news and bad news. It means you can have big winning streaks. Sadly, it also means you can have fast losing streaks, too.
And the losing streaks are marginally more common than the winning streaks. That's how a game with a negative expectation for the player works. Play long enough, and you'll lose all your money.
But you can sure have some fun and walk away a winner from the craps table once in a while.
Many mathematicians have tried and failed to create the perfect betting strategy. Each betting system has its shortcomings no matter how badly someone tries to convince you that their strategy is guaranteed.
But does this mean that all betting strategies are total junk?
No, some strategies do have merit and provide short or even long-term results. The only catch is figuring out which betting systems are worth using.
Let's discuss 10 wagering strategies that work. Some of these systems only work on specific games like baccarat or roulette, while others can apply to any casino game.
1. Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
A common scenario for casual gamblers is to walk into the casino with around $200 dollars and make bets between $10 and $25.
This seems harmless in theory, if you're gambling with expendable income. But the problem is that you're very likely to run out of money this way.
One good idea that comes from sports betting is only risking 2% or less of your bankroll on any given wager.
Professional and serious amateur sports bettors do this to minimize their short-term risk. But you can really apply this system to any casino game.
Here's an example:- Your bankroll is $2,000.
- 2% of your bankroll is $40.
- You can place bets worth $40 or lower.
Pros of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
The biggest benefit to wagering 2% or less of your bankroll is that it keeps you in the game. You're not risking chunks worth 5. 20% of your bankroll like most players.
This is helpful in any casino game from blackjack to Caribbean stud poker. But it's especially useful in skill-based games like daily fantasy sports (DFS), poker, and sports betting.
The reason why is because skill-based games are prone to more streakiness than house-banked games. In these games, it's common to experience long dry streaks that make you question if they'll ever end.
The best way to get through them is by risking small amounts of your bankroll on each wager. Furthermore, you'll dramatically lower your risk of ruin.
Cons of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
The first problem with this system is that most players don't have a large enough bankroll to only wager 2% or less per bet. Under this system, you'll need at least $1,000 in just to make a $20 wager (2%).
Professionals can afford to be disciplined like this because they have large bankrolls. But if you're just a casual blackjack or craps player, you probably don't walk into the casino with thousands of dollars.
Another downside is that some players find that this system doesn't offer enough action. These same players may like varying their wagers from big to small depending upon how lucky they feel.
But, as long as you have a large enough bankroll, this system is definitely worth using.
2. The Martingale
The Martingale betting strategy has two things going for it:
- It's easy.
- This system will theoretically provide a profit every time.
The Martingale calls on you to double bets after every loss. The goal is to always win back your losses and earn a small profit in the process.
You should also make even-money bets with the Martingale in order to simplify things and minimize your risk.
Here's an example:- You bet $10 and win (+10).
- You bet $10 and lose (0).
- You bet $20 and lose (- 20).
- You bet $40 and lose (- 60).
- You bet $80 and lose (- 140).
- You bet $160 and lose (- 300).
- You bet $320 and win (+20).
- Next bet returns to $10.
Pros of the Martingale
The Martingale's best aspects include its ease of use and how it can theoretically be successful.
As long as you have the funds to continue doubling bets after losses, you'll eventually win back your money. You'll also book small profits along the way every time you win.
The Martingale is one of the best systems for those looking for consistent short-term profits.
Cons of the Martingale
The Martingale's downside is that it's an extremely risky strategy. You'll be betting far more than your original wager after 5 to 6 losing wagers.
This can make you hesitant to pull the trigger on the next double bet. Even worse is that your bankroll will vanish if the losing streak continues.
Beginner Craps Strategy
Another problem is that casinos impose table limits to prevent wealthy gamblers from the using the Martingale to the fullest. Otherwise, Mark Zuckerberg ($56 billion net worth) would always win with the Martingale because his bankroll would likely never run out.
You'll eventually run into a losing streak that's long enough to hit the table limit. In this case, you take a big loss because you can no longer double wagers to win everything back.
3. The Martingale in Skill-Based Games
We just covered how the Martingale is a very risky betting strategy. What's more is that this system doesn't do anything to alter the house edge.
But what if you could combine the Martingale's effectiveness with skill?
This betting strategy can be profitable in skill based games like DFS and sports betting. Not only can you win back your losses with the Martingale, but you can also swing the odds in your favor with enough skill.
Here's an example of how this works in DFS:
- You lose a $10 + $1 (fee) head to head contest (- 11).
- You lose a $20 + $2 head to head contest (- 33).
- You lose a $40 + $4 head to head contest (- 77).
- You win an $80 + $8 head to head contest (- 5).
- You win a $10 + $1 head to head contest (+5).
The tough thing about DFS contests is that you have to pay an extra 10% entry fee to the sites. But as the above example shows, the Martingale strategy can still help you book a profit even if you lose the majority of contests.
Let's look at one more example involving sports betting:
- You lose an $11 bet (- 11).
- You lose a $22 bet (- 22).
- You lose a $44 bet (- 77).
- You lose an $88 bet (- 165).
- You win a $176 bet and earn a $160 profit (- 5).
- You win an $11 bet and earn a $10 profit (+5),
The drawback to sports betting is that the house takes 10% juice from the losing side. But the Martingale can still help you be profitable when you string together two or more wins.
Pros of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games
The great thing about using this system in skill-based contests is that you can overcome short-term variance by consistently winning back losses.
The sports betting example above shows how you can earn back your losses plus a small profit even after several losing wagers.
Another advantage is that you're not just using the Martingale in a casino game with a house edge. Instead, you're playing skill based games.
The end result is that you get the enviable combination of getting your losses back and having a chance to win long-term profits.
Cons of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games
You're taking a risk on three fronts with this betting strategy:
- You might be at a skill disadvantage to opponents/other bettors.
- You're still dealing with the Martingale risks.
- You must pay 10% fees (DFS) or 10% juice on losses (sports betting).
The first point is key because you could be facing an even worse proposition than house-banked casino games if you're not better than opponents.
Add in the standard Martingale risks along with sportsbook/DFS fees, and non-skilled bettors are looking at a potential bankroll disaster.
4. Betting on Baccarat's Banker Hand
Baccarat gives you three different betting options, including the banker hand, player hand, and tie bet. And the top system for playing baccarat involves making the banker bet every time.
The reason why is because the banker hand only has a 1.06% house edge. Compare this to the player hand and tie wager, which have 1.24% and 14.36% house edges, respectively.
Given that all you need to do is bet on the banker hand every time, baccarat is great for casual players who don't want to deal with in-depth strategy.
Pros of Betting on the Banker Hand
The banker hand wager is one of the best in gaming. Only a handful of casino games offer a lower house edge than 1.06%.
The other advantage to wagering on the banker hand is that you don't have to study strategy. Instead, you simply need to make the same bet every time.
Cons of Betting on the Banker Hand
The banker hand's 1.06% house edge isn't as harmless as it seems.
Mini baccarat games see anywhere from 120. 200 hands dealt per hour. This is 2. 3 times the hand rate that you'll see in blackjack games and this exposes you more to the house edge.
Let's look at the theoretical losses that you'd be facing in a fast-dealt baccarat game:
- You're making $10 bets on the banker
- The table is seeing 200 hands per hour.
- This adds up to $2,000 in total hourly bets.
- We take 2,000 x 0.0106.
- Your theoretical losses are $21.20 per hour.
5. Value Betting
Value betting is the process of getting maximum value out of situations where you have a long-term advantage. This term is most often used in poker, but it can also describe how blackjack card counters operate.
Value betting requires being able to spot and take advantage of favorable situations.
One example is when a poker player believes they have the best hand and bets in a way that extracts maximum value from their opponent. Going further, their wagers need to be large enough to get the most value from the opposing player, yet small enough that the opponent won't fold.
Another example involves how card counters keep track of the deck until the count swings in their favor. They then make larger bets to maximize situations where the deck is rich in 10s and aces.
Pros of Value Betting
Anybody who wants to make long-term profits through gambling can benefit from value betting. This is how poker pros and card counters earn their living.
In poker's case, being good at value betting can separate you from opponents. Getting the most value out of your great hands will improve your profits in the long run.
Cons of Value Betting
The problem with this betting strategy is that it calls on you to have the following qualities:
- Being good at math.
- Being skilled in the game you're playing.
- Being able to walk a fine line with betting.
Wagering too little prevents you from capitalizing on your best poker hands. Wagering too much pushes your opponents out of hands and keeps you from making money on future streets.
For card counters, betting too high in favorable situations can attract the casino's attention. In turn, they'll find out that you're a card counter and ban you for life.
6. Taking Craps Odds
The best regular bets in craps include pass line, don't pass line, come, and don't come. But there's another craps wager that's even better than these called odds.
Craps odds is the best bet in the casino because it doesn't have a house edge. Instead, you're paid at your true odds of winning. And one of the top betting strategies that you can use includes continually backing regular bets with odds.
To place an odds wager, you need to first make a pass line or don't pass line bet after a point has been established. You should also inform the dealer that you're making an odds bet.
Here are the payouts for when you back a pass line bet with odds (a.k.a. taking odds):
- 2 to 1 on point numbers of 4 and 10.
- 3 to 2 on points of 5 and 9.
- 6 to 5 on points of 6 and 8.
Here are payouts for when you back a don't pass line wager with odds (a.k.a. laying odds):
- 1 to 2 for points of 4 and 10.
- 2 to 3 for points of 5 and 9.
- 5 to 6 for points of 6 and 8.
Pros of Taking Craps Odds
Odds is the only bet where the casino doesn't have a house edge. And what's great is that you can reduce the house advantage to almost nothing by taking higher odds.
Here's a look at how far the house edge is reduced based on the odds you take:
Odds | Pass Line/Come | Don't Pass Line/Don't Come |
---|---|---|
0x | 1.41% house edge | 1.36% house edge |
1x | 0.848% | 0.682% |
2x | 0.606% | 0.455% |
Full Double Odds | 0.572% | 0.431% |
3x | 0.471% | 0.341% |
3x 4x 5x | 0.374% | 0.273% |
5x | 0.326% | 0.227% |
10x | 0.184% | 0.124% |
20x | 0.099% | 0.065% |
100x | 0.021% | 0.014% |
Cons of Taking Craps Odds
Casinos cap the size of odds because they don't make long term profits off these wagers. The highest most casinos go is 5x odds, while others don't even allow this amount.
A few Las Vegas casinos offer anywhere from 10x to 100x odds. And this seems like a dream based on how higher odds reduce the house edge further.
But the problem is that most players don't have the bankroll to continue taking the highest odds available. If you put $10 on pass line and take 20x odds, you need an additional $200.
The average gambler doesn't have this kind of money for a single bet, even if there's no house edge involved.
7. The Labouchere
The Labouchere (a.k.a. cancellation system) is a negative progression betting strategy like the Martingale. The main difference, though, is that it's less risky.
You start this system by creating a unit size. And the simplest way to do this is by choosing the table's minimum bet.
The next step involves deciding how many units you want to win during your session. After deciding this, you create a string of numbers that adds up to your desired unit win.
You then add the first and last number in the sequence to determine your bet.
You cross off both of these numbers after a win. And you add the combined number to the end of your string after a loss.
Here's an example of the Labouchere in action:
- You want to win 18 units.
- Your number string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 3.
- Your first bet is 6 units (3 + 3).
- You win and your new string is: 4, 5, 3.
- Your next bet is 7 units (4 + 3).
- You lose and your new string is: 4, 5, 3, 7.
Pros of the Labouchere
One good thing about the Labouchere is that it gives you more freedom than most betting systems. You decide your unit size, desired profit, and how to achieve this profit.
Another good aspect to the cancellation system is that it's not as risky as systems like the Martingale. Rather than doubling your bet following every loss to win back losses, you're merely wagering a certain amount of units.
Cons of the Labouchere
The biggest problem with this system is that you're forced to make a series of big bets during a losing streak. Let's look at how this works by going back to the number sequence in the first example:
- Your number sequence is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4.
- Your first bet is 7 units.
- You lose and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7.
- You lose a 10-unit bet and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7, 10.
This isn't as bad as doubling your bets after every loss. But most players won't feel comfortable wagering between 7 and 10 units for several bets in a row.
8. Making Even-Money Bets in French Roulette
Roulette offers three main variations, which are American roulette, European roulette, and French roulette. The best version is French roulette because it only has a 1.35% house edge.
French roulette is played on a European wheel (37 numbers). But the difference between European and French roulette is that the latter has the la partage rule.
La partage pays half your bet back on losing even-money wagers that land on zero. This effectively cuts the European roulette house edge (2.70%) in half as long as you stick with even-money bets.
Pros of Even-Money French Roulette Bets
The best aspects to making even-money bets with French roulette include the low house edge and excellent probability of winning.
As for the latter, you have a 48.64% chance of winning red/black, odd/even, and high/low. This is even better than your chances of winning a blackjack hand (42.22%) or baccarat hand (45.85%) when ties are accounted for.
Easy Craps Strategy
The high probability of winning and the low house edge combine to create low volatility. And this is perfect for players with small bankrolls who want to last in casino games.
Cons of Even-Money French Roulette Bets
The biggest problem is that you can't find French roulette in most land-based or online casinos.
France, Germany, and Monte Carlo offer a fair number of French roulette games. But the game is sparsely found in most other countries.
Easy Blackjack Strategy
Any online casino with Microgaming or Realtime Gaming software will offer French roulette. Cryptologic (NYX Gaming) also has a European roulette variation that's actually French roulette.
But beyond this, you'll have a hard time even finding French roulette online.
9. Oscar's Grind
Oscar's Grind is another negative progression strategy in the same vein as the Martingale or Labouchere. But this one is more complicated.
You start off by betting 1 unit. And you keep your unit size the same when you're in a winning or losing streak.
You increase your bet by 1 unit whenever you win following a loss. The bet size stays at this level until you lose, then win again.
The overall theme is to chase losses following losing streaks. Here's an example to illustrate Oscar's Grind:
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 1)
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 2)
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 3)
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 4)
- You bet 1 unit and win – Next bet becomes 2 units (bankroll at. 3)
- You bet 2 units and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 5)
- You bet 2 units and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 7)
- You bet 2 units and win – Next bet becomes 3 units (bankroll at. 5)
- You bet 3 units and win – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 2).
- You bet 3 units and win – Next bet becomes 1 unit (bankroll at +1).
Once you book a profit following a losing streak, you start the process over again.
Pros of Oscar's Grind
The good thing about Oscar's Grind is that it allows you to chase losses without going overboard. You're only increasing bets by 1 unit following a losing streak, which is less risky than both the Labouchere and Martingale.
The other benefit is that Oscar's Grind is less likely to reach the table betting limit than the other two systems. This minimizes the problem of running into the table limit during a lengthy losing streak.
Cons of Oscar's Grind
The first downside to Oscar's Grind is that it's more confusing than both the Labouchere and Martingale.
Examples help with learning Oscar's Grind. But it's not the easiest to start with if you're new to betting strategies.
The other problem is that this system is also subject to risk and table limits if you use it over a long time period. The risk is minimized with Oscar's Grind, but there's still a small chance that you'll run into a table limit.
10. No. 12 Seed vs. No. 5 Seed in March Madness
One of the worst kept secrets about March Madness betting is that No. 12 seeds are a good bet to beat No. 5 seeds.
The four No. 12 seeds in the NCAA Tournament usually face long odds to beat the No. 5 seeds. But they also have a high success rate when considering the disparity in rankings.
At least one No. 12 seed has beaten a No. 5 seed in the first round in 16 of the past 17 NCAA Tournaments. Over the past five years (2013 to 17), nine No. 12 seeds have triumphed in the first round.
Pros of Betting on No. 12 Seeds
You can win quite frequently by betting on No. 12 seeds to beat the spread.
In the last nine March Madness events, No. 12 seeds have gone 23-12-1 against the spreads (ATS). This includes an impressive 11–4–1 ATS over the past five seasons.
These low seeded teams can also earn you big profits through straight up bets. No. 12 seeds have a decent chance of winning versus the long odds they carry.
Cons of Betting on No. 12 Seeds
The problem with betting on No. 12 seeds is that they lose a majority of the time.
This isn't to say that you shouldn't still bet on No. 12 seeds, because they've been profitable over a long time period. But you still need the handicapping skills to determine which No. 12 seeds have a chance of winning, or at least covering the spread.
One more drawback is that you only have four chances to make these bets every year. This leaves you with a very limited opportunity to take advantage of No. 12 seed bets.
Conclusion
Betting strategies should never be viewed as a way to make guaranteed profits and replace your day job. But some of them can be highly effective over the short run and spice up your gambling sessions.
The most reasonable strategies include betting less than 2% of your bankroll, wagering on the banker hand, taking craps odds, and making even-money bets in French roulette. These help you pull in consistent wins and limit the risk factor.
Riskier systems include the Martingale, Labouchere, and Oscar's Grind. The latter is the safest of these betting systems because you don't increase your bet as much following losses.
You can also make long-term profits with betting strategies if you're skilled enough. These strategies include value betting, using the Martingale in skill based games, and wagering on No. 12 seeds in March Madness.
As you can see, there are a variety of working systems that cater to different interests. And wagering strategies can also make gambling more exciting.